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HomeMy WebLinkAboutSR - - SECOND STUDY SESSION PROPOSED FY 2015-16 BUDGETF °�� AGENDA ITEM :4 April 28, 2015 Meeting cop TO: Honorable Mayor and Members of the City Council FROM: Rick Otto Interim City Manager ReviewedNerified By: City Manager Finance Director To Be Presented By: Rick Otto Calendar X City Mgr. Reports _Cons. _Council Reports Legal Affairs _Boards /Cmtes. _Public Hearings Admin Reports Plan/Environ. 1. SUBJECT Second Study Session for the Proposed Fiscal Year 2015 -16 Budget 2. SUMMARY This is the second study session in support of the preparation of the FY 15 -16 budget (FY 16). This study session provides an updated analysis of the projected General Fund revenues and expenditures for FY 16, as well as a status and analysis of the Special Revenue, Internal Service, and Water Funds for FY 16. 3. ACTION Receive report and provide policy direction. 4. FISCAL IMPACT Fiscal impact will be determined with final budget adoption. 5. STRATEGIC PLAN GOALS 2. Be a fiscally healthy community: a) Expend fiscal resources responsibly; b) Analyze future fiscal needs and potential revenue opportunities and c) Provide appropriate reserves. 4. Provide outstanding public service; b) Provide facilities and services to meet customer expectations. 6. GENERAL PLAN IMPLEMENTATION N/A ITE 1 4/28/15 7. DISCUSSION and BACKGROUND This is the second study session in support of the preparation of the City's FY 16 budget. This study session is intended to focus on the following items: • Providing an updated status of the current year budget; • Providing an updated analysis of the projected General Fund revenues and expenditures for FY 16; and • Presenting a status and analysis of the Special Revenue, Internal Service, and Water Funds for FY 16. This report also provides information on specific issues as requested by the City Council at the April 1 st Study Session. At this point, we are on target to present a proposed FY 16 budget to the City Council for review and adoption at the June 2015 meeting. Status of FY 15 General Fund Budget As the end of FY 15 quickly approaches, FY 15 General Fund revenues are expected to increase to $99.0 million, 2.9% over budget. Sales tax and property taxes continue to trend upward, further indicating that the economy is improving. With an early estimate of $1.5 million in expected departmental savings, General Fund expenditures are anticipated to close at $97.3 million. Should year -end revenues and expenditures hold steady, staff expects to end the fiscal year with slightly more than $1.6 million in revenues over expenditures. As such, the ending General Fund balance for FY 15 is expected to be approximately $4.7 million. Projected General Fund Revenues for FY 16 Total General Fund revenues for FY 16 are projected to be $102.3 million. This represents an increase of $3.3 million or 3.3% over the estimated revenue for FY 15. Compared to the revenue estimate presented at the April 1S Study Session, the estimated revenue amount has increased by approximately $292,000, mostly reflected in Property Tax and Motor Vehicle in Lieu. Provided below is a summary of the General Fund revenue highlights for FY 16. • Sales Tax is the largest source of General Fund revenue. In FY 16 the City anticipates receiving $43 million, $3.1 million (7.7 %) above the FY 15 estimate. We expect to see strong performance by the Outlets at Orange, local automotive dealerships, and the business -to- business sector. In addition, we anticipate receiving more receipts as a result of our business outreach efforts, primarily from fuel distribution sales. • Property Tax is the second largest source of General Fund revenue and is expected to be $24.1million, generating an additional $922,000, an increase of 4.0 %. The County of Orange allocates redevelopment agency proceeds from the dissolution and wind down of activities of the former Redevelopment Agency (RDA). This distribution is expected to increase $289,000 to slightly over $2.4 million. Excluding redevelopment proceeds, property tax receipts are anticipated to grow commensurate with the estimated 3% increase in assessed home values. • Motor Vehicle in Lieu is expected to increase $337,000 (3.0 %) to $11.6 million in FY 16. We anticipate continued growth in auto sales in FY 16 which results in increased motor vehicle in lieu fees. ITEM 2 4/28/15 • Transient Occupancy Tax receipts are projected to be $4.2 million, 3.0% above the FY 15 estimate. Projected General Fund Revenues for FY 16 Misc. Revenues Transient Occupancy $755,045 Tax $4,223,000 0.74 %_ r- 4.13% Use of Money & Property $842,768 0.82%_ Revenue from Other \ Agencies $1,299,526 1.27% Charges to Other Funds $2,101,000 2.05% Franchises, $2,797,280 2.73% Fees for Services $4,522,155 4.42% Fines & Forfeitures J $2,213,700 Licenses & Permits 2.16% $4,263,000 4.17% Sales Tax $43,000,000 42.03% Property Taxes $24,149,260 23.60% Motor Vehicle In -Lieu $11,592,487 11.34% Other Taxes $550,000 —0.54% Many of the key economic indicators continue to show signs of improvement, and our local economy mirrors the effects of an upward growth trend. However, we expect only modest future growth in General Fund revenue. For this reason, it is essential we continue an aggressive approach with economic development programs to attract and retain major retailers and significant revenue generators to the City. Maintaining and enhancing the tax base is critical to our ability to provide the highest level of services and programs to our residents and businesses. Estimated General Fund Expenditures for FY 16 For the past seven years, the City has relied on its conservative spending practices to ride out the Great Recession. This was aided by the City's quick response to the pending economic downturn with the implementation of. significant departmental operating budget reductions, underfunding internal service fund allocations, implementing a 5.0% furlough for non - safety employees (ended 7/1/14), and freezing vacant positions. The City maintains substantial savings with tight controls on operating expenses. While we continue the policy to freeze certain positions, when this policy reached a tipping point in our ability to deliver services, in FY 13 we began to fill critical positions as they became vacant. With the proposed FY 16 budget, the City will still have approximately 40 full -time equivalent frozen positions saving over $4.4 million annually. As we progress through this budget process and into next fiscal year, we will continue to evaluate vacant and frozen positions. The current projected expenditures for FY 16 are $101.5 million, representing a 5.8% increase over FY 15 adopted budgeted expenditures. This increase is primarily due to the continued growth ITEM 3 4/28/15 in employee retirement (PERS) costs, full year funding of succession planning efforts, sales tax cost sharing, an increase to internal service fund allocations, and a limited amount of department operating budget increases, primarily with contract obligations. This estimated expenditure amount is consistent with the amount presented at the April 1S Study Session. Provided below are the significant conditions that are impacting the General Fund budget for FY 16: 1. Ca1PERS (PERS) Cost Increase: Retirement costs continue to escalate due to Ca1PERS' (PERS) attempts to reduce the system's unfunded liability. The FY 16 PERS rates for miscellaneous and safety plans will be 24.9% and 36.3 %, respectively, resulting in an overall increase in retirement costs to the General Fund of approximately $1.5 million. Costs are expected to continue to climb at a similar pace through FY 20. 2. Succession Planning: As per City Council direction, we continue our succession planning efforts in FY 16 by funding the third Police Captain, and the Assistant Director positions in Library Services, Community Development, and Finance. The net fiscal impact for FY 16 is $664,000. 3. Sales Tax Cost Sharing: In order to attract and retain businesses within the City, we have entered into sales tax cost sharing agreements with certain businesses. In FY 16, the General Fund operating budget will contribute $420,000 towards payments to Ford of Orange, Volkswagen of Orange, and Stadium Nissan. The net increase to the General Fund in FY 16 is $75,000. The Business Investment Fund (115), which currently has a fund balance of $2.5 million, will cover the remaining anticipated payments of $3.1 million. As part of the FY 16 budget adoption, we propose a transfer of an additional $1.6 million from the General Fund into the Business Investment Fund to cover payments for FY 16 and future years. 4. Internal Service Fund (ISF) Allocations: Due to the slow growth in revenues in prior years, we were unable to fund many of the ISFs out of General Fund operating costs. As such, we utilized unreserved General Fund balance generated through prior year savings as an essential funding source to ISFs during the past several years. In an effort to reflect our true operating cost of the General Fund, staff is proposing to increase General Fund allocations to the ISFs in FY 16. Staff is proposing a total net FY 16 allocation increase of $2.7 million to the Worker's Compensation, Accrued Liability (normal retirement costs), Vehicle Maintenance, Information Technology, and the Liability Funds to cover rising costs within those programs. While the funding levels of the ISFs are still well below meeting our long -term needs, the City is heading in the right direction by starting to fund the majority of these allocations within the General Fund operating budget. Of the remaining ISFs not included as part of operational costs, staff is requesting a transfer of $1.4 million from the General Fund unreserved fund balance to the Equipment Replacement Fund. A more detailed analysis of the ISFs is provided later in this report. 5. Department Operating Budgets: As addressed at the Study Session on April 1, 2015, only necessary increases to department operating budgets are included in the FY 16 proposed budget. These increases include contract obligations such as Metro Cities Fire and Orange County Animal Control and maintenance costs related to enhancing service levels (primarily in Old Towne Plaza area). In total, operation and maintenance increases approximate $688,000 for FY 16. ITEM 4 4/28/15 Provided below is the proposed FY 16 General Fund departmental budgets compared to the FY 15 adopted budget. General Fund Expenditures — Comparison of FY 15 and FY 16 Department FY 15 Adopted FY 16 Proposed % Inc /(Dec) City Attorney $960,777 $966,315 1.0% City Clerk 769,915 785,502 2.0% City Council 44,965 9,615 (7.9 %) City Manager 1,198,535 1,245,554 3.9% City Treasurer 106,697 93,289 (12.6 %) Community Development 3,782,943 4,208,845 11.3% Community Services 7,883,288 8,235,348 4.5% Finance 3,021,354 3,144,380 4.1% Fire 24,759,335 25,769,322 4.1% Human Resources 1,316,399 1,388,291 5.5% Library 4,237,362 4,504,834 6.3% Non - Departmental 1,731,245 1,982,422 14.5% Police 38,731,360 41,441,101 7.0% Public Works 7,444,723 7,774,929 4.4% Totals: $95,988,898 $101,549,747 5.8% The PERS increase accounts for the most significant increase to department budgets. Other noteworthy department variances are primarily due to: • City Council and City Treasurer: The decrease of 7.9% and 12.6% respectively is a result of no longer needing to budget salaries for elected officials. • Community Development: The increase of 11.3% is due to unfreezing the Assistant Director position and adding an Administrative Analyst position. • Library: The increase of 6.3% is due to unfreezing the Assistant Director position. • Police: The increase of 7.0% is due to unfreezing the third Captain position and funding the City's share of county -wide finger printing service. As mentioned above, the Workers' Compensation Fund had been underfunded for several years. Upon closer review, staff proposes an adjustment to the allocation from Police for workers' compensation to commensurate with staffing levels and number of claims. • Non - Departmental: The increase of 14.5% is due to the increase in the animal control contract and sales tax cost sharing agreements. Summarizing the financial picture, the current proposed FY 16 expenditure budget is $101.5 million. With the projected FY 16 revenue amount projected to be at $102.3 million, the General Fund budget will be balanced and our revenues are expected to exceed expenditures by $759,000. As labor negotiations for all eight labor bargaining groups have recently started, any impacts of these negotiations are not reflected in the FY 16 proposed budget. Unless otherwise noted above, this preliminary budget does not reflect any other increases in service levels or new programs. ITEM 5 4/28/15 Estimated General Fund Balance for FY 16 As mentioned earlier in this report, the FY 16 projected beginning General Fund unreserved fund balance is $4.7 million. With revenues exceeding expenditures in our FY 16 budget, the ending General Fund unreserved fund balance is estimated to be $5.4 million. Therefore, staff recommends the transfer of $3.0 million from the unreserved fund balance: $1.6 million to the Business Investment Fund to provide future funding to attract new businesses to the City, and $1.4 million to the Equipment Replacement Fund. In addition, in response to City Council's feedback at the April 1st Study Session, staff proposes the FY 16 budget include an additional transfer of $500,000 to the Catastrophic Reserve, increasing the total amount to just over $19.0 million. With this addition, the Catastrophic Reserve would increase to slightly under 19.0% of the General Fund budget. While this reserve amount does not meet the target of 25.0 %, the transfer of $500,000 does allow the reserve to keep pace with the increase in expenditures for FY 16. The result of the transfers and reserves is a FY 16 estimated ending General Fund unreserved fund balance of $1.9 million. FY 16 Estimated Available General Fund Balance Unreserved Fund Balance Available @ 6/30/15 FY 16 Estimated Revenues 102,309,221 FY 16 Estimated Expenditures (101,549,747) Excess Revenues over Expenditures Unreserved Fund Balance Available @ 6/30/16 Transfers Out Transfer to Business Investment Fund (1,600,000) Transfer to Equipment Replacement Fund (1,400,000) Total Transfers Out Increase to General Fund Catastrophic Reserve Unreserved Fund Balance Available @ 6/30/16 General Fund Catastrophic Reserve Est. Reserved & Unreserved General Fund Balance @ 6/30/16 $ 4,665,200 759,474 5,424,674 (3,000,000) (500,000) 1,924,674 19,067,960 $20,992,634 Review of Other Funds Water Fund: The FY 15 beginning fund balance for the Water Enterprise Fund is $7.6 million. With estimated revenues of $32.3 million, expenses of $29.7 million and new capital projects of $2.6 million, FY 15 is expected to end with a fund balance of $7.6 million. With the recent State mandate to attain a 28.0% reduction in water consumption, staff is closely monitoring the details of the restrictions and the implementation. As it is too early to assess the impacts of the State mandate, staff recommends the FY 16 budget reflect normal water consumption and expenses. Therefore, with FY 16 proposed revenues of $31.4 million, expenditures of $31.1 million, and new capital projects and expenditures of $4.1 million, the estimated ending fund balance is $3.8 million. As more material related to the conservation mandate is presented and the full implications are determined, ITEM 6 4/28/15 staff will return to City Council with any necessary mid -year budget adjustments. Staff will continue to keep Council updated as further information is obtained. Sanitation Fund: The Sanitation Fund began FY 15 with an available fund balance of $5.5 million. The Sanitation Fund's budget for FY 15 shows expected revenues of $4.9 million, expenses of $5.3 million, and new capital projects of $850,000, resulting in an expected year end available fund balance of $4.3 million. Due to the direct relation between water consumption and Sanitation revenues, it is expected that the State's mandated 28.0% water conservation will affect the Sanitation fund in a negative way. However, we recommend the FY 16 Sanitation budget remain intact as proposed. Since there are many unknown variables, staff cannot predict the full implications of the water reduction on the Sanitation Fund. Staff is closely monitoring these developments, including the possibility of a mid -year budget adjustment to the Sanitation budget. We will continue to keep the City Council updated as further information is made available. With FY 16 revenues projected at $4.5 million, expenditures at $5.2 million, and new capital projects of $1.3 million, the estimated FY 16 ending fund balance is $2.3 million. The current structure of the sanitation fee typically only allows for approximately $400,000 for sewer line replacements. However, the FY 16 budget proposes $1.0 million for sewer line replacement to help address known trouble spots. Equipment Replacement Fund: During the height of the recession, yearly allocations to the Equipment Replacement Fund were either reduced or excluded and vehicle replacements were deferred. As the economy has improved, we have been able to replace more vehicles that are well past their useful lives. The City currently owns over 500 vehicles and full replacement funding would require an available fund balance of over $13.0 million. With FY 15 Equipment Replacement expenditures estimated at $4.1 million, the approximate year -end fund balance will be $7.7 million. The FY 16 budget includes proposed revenue of $1.8 million, which includes a $1.4 million General Fund transfer. However, staff is also proposing vehicle replacements of $2.9 million which drops the FY 16 ending fund balance to $6.5 million. Included in the replacement schedule are: three vehicles for Fire ($1.5 million), fifteen vehicles for Police ($600,000), four vehicles for Public Works ($590,000), two vehicles for Community Services ($80,000), and four vehicles for Water ($156,000). Workers' Compensation Fund: The Workers' Compensation Fund began FY 15 with an available fund balance of $199,000. After our new third -party administrator's success in decreasing our reserves for all known and unknown claims to date, staff is projecting an ending FY 15 fund balance of $539,000. As we continue to close old claims and proactively seek out alternative programs to mitigate claims, we anticipate the Workers' Compensation Fund will end FY 16 with a fund balance of $900,000 based on revenue of $3.6 million and expenditures of $3.2 million. The Workers' Compensation Fund has struggled recently with increasing actuarial valuations for unanticipated claims incurred but not yet reported (IBNR) resulting in higher than anticipated expenditures. The IBNR expense is an actual reserve for IBNRs and had a balance of $7.1 million at the beginning of FY 15. The third - party administrator continues to make strides in reducing this reserve. ITEM 7 4/28/15 Liability Fund: The Liability Fund began FY 15 with an available fund balance of $1.8 million; however, within the Liability Fund is an IBNR reserve component of $783,000 at the beginning of FY 15. As with the Equipment Replacement Fund, allocations to the Liability Fund have not kept up with operating expenditures. For several years, the Liability Fund had a significant fund balance which absorbed the decrease in allocation. The estimated ending FY 15 available fund balance is $1.6 million. In FY 16, staff is proposing to allocate $1.4 million in operating costs ($800,000 from the General Fund) to cover proposed expenditures of $1.9 million, and resulting in an estimated FY 16 ending fund balance of $1.1 million. Employee Accrued Liability (PERS) Fund: The Employee Accrued Liability Fund primarily accounts for costs associated with payouts to employees for accrued leave, upon termination or retirement. Its secondary function is to hold reserve funds in anticipation of rising future PERS retirement costs which comprise the majority of the reserves in this fund. Over the past four years, transfers have been made into this fund using year -to -year savings in the General Fund. This reserve is currently just under $5.2 million. To cover employee payouts, revenue to this fund is allocated through the payroll process. Expenditures are based on estimated costs for potential retirements in the upcoming budget year, making it difficult to calculate. In FY 16, staff proposes increasing the allocation to the Accrued Liability Fund from 0.9% to 2.1 % to cover expenditures related to anticipated retirement payouts for accrued leave. This fund is estimated to end FY 16 with an available fund balance of $5.4 million, including the reserve for future PERS cost of $5.2 million. In response to the inquiry related to an alternative PERS payment schedule, in reviewing our most recent actuarial valuation, Ca1PERS provided two alternative amortization schedules to pay down the City's unfunded liability within either 25 or 20 years. The decision to establish an alternative amortization schedule is both one -time and irrevocable. Under the 25 -year amortization schedule, the City's FY 16 payment would increase by $3.3 million over the estimated FY 16 payment of $17.6 million for a total budget increase of $4.9 million over FY 15. Over the course of 30 years, this payment schedule would save the City approximately $50 million with a present value savings of $18.8 million. Under the 20 -year amortization schedule, the City's FY 16 payment would increase by $5.1 million over the estimated FY 16 payment of $17.6 million for a total budget increase of $6.7 million over FY 15. Again, over the course of 30 years, it would save the City approximately $74 million (present value savings of $27.6 million). While the expedited payment schedule would be desirable in reducing our unfunded liability, current General Fund revenues cannot support such an aggressive schedule. Staff will further explore strategies to maximize the $5.2 million Council has set aside for future PERS costs, and bring additional information to you in the near future. Capital Projects Fund: As mentioned at the April 1S Budget Study Session, the City lost a significant resource for improvements to City infrastructure with the FY 12 dissolution of the Redevelopment Agency (RDA). In response, the City Council began to set -aside monies from the General Fund unreserved fund balance in the Capital Projects Fund to prepare for future improvements to City facilities and infrastructure. In FY 15, with prior year's General Fund savings, the City Council approved a transfer of $2.0 million to the Capital Projects Fund, resulting in an ending FY 15 fund balance of $7.4 million. ITEM 8 4/28/15 Staff continues to make every effort to prolong much needed repairs and improvements to City facilities and infrastructure; however, some repairs cannot be postponed and have been included in the Seven -Year Capital Improvement Plan. With a total of $275,000 in capital projects proposed in FY 16, the ending FY 16 fund balance is estimated at $7.1 million. Among the City facilities requiring improvements in the near future is the Fire Headquarters (Fire HQ). As the City Council is aware, approximately 10 years ago, the City purchased the Water Street property from the Orange County Fire Authority with the intent of possibly relocating the Fire HQ facility to that site. While initial planning for the project began in 2007, it was discontinued in 2008 due to the recession and the lack of available funds to build a new facility. Nevertheless, the existing Fire HQ facility is over 50 years old and is in need of various improvements. Therefore, staff has established a committee to look at future options with regards to location and funding sources, as well as alternatives such as a renovation of the existing location. The committee consists of personnel from Fire, Public Works, Finance, Community Development, and the City Manager's office. Staff will return to City Council with progress updates as plans develop. Conclusion With additional direction provided by City Council at the April 1 st Study Session, staff has further refined our budget projections for FY 16. While the future looks encouraging with revenues on a slow but steady upswing, the City still faces some challenges. A growing economy also means growth in expenses. Nevertheless, our revenues for FY 16 exceed our expenditures and with an estimated $1.9 million FY 16 ending fund balance, City Council may want to transfer a portion of these "one- time" funds to one of the reserve funds including the Capital Projects, Vehicle Replacement, or Business Investment Funds. As we look forward to FY 17, budget projections remain consistent with FY 16 numbers. Revenues are expected to grow modestly with an increase of 2.0 %, projected to be $104.4 million. As mentioned at the last Study Session, we expect another increase in PERS costs of $1.6 million. With a conservative increase of 1.0 %, FY 17 expenditures are estimated at approximately $104.2 million. Staff will continue to monitor trends and search out cost saving measures to minimize budgetary impact. 8. ATTACHMENTS None ITEM 9 4/28/15